Votto's RBI in the 10th leads Cincy past D'Backs
Baseball Betting Lines
07/02/2009 - Cincinnati, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Joey Votto's single to left in the bottom of the 10th scored Chris Dickerson and gave the Reds a 3-2 win over Arizona in the finale of a three-game set from Great American Ball Park.
Votto totaled four hits in all while Dickerson was 2-for-4 with an RBI single of his own as Cincinnati took the final two games of this series and won for the fifth time in seven games.
Aaron Harang pitched well, yielding just four hits and two runs over seven full frames. The right-hander, who remains without a win over his last seven starts, walked three and struck out eight. Francisco Cordero (1-2) received the win for pitching a scoreless top half of the 10th.
Mark Reynolds hit a solo home run and Chad Tracy had an RBI single for the Diamondbacks, who have lost seven of eight. Doug Davis scattered seven hits and a run with four walks and five strikeouts over seven effective innings for Arizona. The lefty is riding a five-start winless stretch.
Clay Zavada (1-2) took the bump to start the bottom portion of the 10th and gave up a leadoff single to Dickerson. Ramon Hernandez walked and Jay Bruce loaded the bases with a bunt single before Laynce Nix and Jerry Hairston were retired. Votto, though, came through with a base hit to left to end the game.
The D'Backs had loaded the bases on three walks by Cordero in the top halfof the 10th but Justin Upton flied out to right to end the threat.
Arizona struck for the game's first run in the second inning. Gerardo Parra drew a one-out walk, stole second and moved to third when Miguel Montero grounded to second. Tracy came through with an RBI base knock to left and the D'Backs led 1-0.
The Reds tied it up in the fourth but wasted a chance to take the lead. Jonny Gomes opened with a double and Ryan Hanigan's bunt single left runners at the corners. Dickerson scored Gomes with a base hit back through the middle and Paul Janish followed with a walk to load the bases with nobody out. Harang, though, popped out, Willy Taveras grounded out and Hairston Jr. did the same to end the threat.
Cincy juiced the bags again in the fifth with two outs but Janish went down swinging which allowed the visitors a 2-1 lead when Reynolds' hit his 22nd of the year with one away in the sixth.
Davis retired the Reds in order over the next two frames but the bullpen ran into trouble in the eighth. Jon Rauch gave up a pair of singles to Hanigan and a pinch-hitting Hernandez that left runners on the corners with one out. Scott Schoeneweis was brought on and got Bruce to foul out. Chad Qualls then entered and fanned a pinch-hitting Nix to escape the inning.
However, Qualls blew his fourth save of the year in the ninth as Hairston Jr. and Votto opened with base hits. Both runners advanced on Brandon Phillips' fielder's choice and Drew Sutton tied the game at two with a run-scoring pinch-hit grounder to second.
Game Notes
Cincinnati swept a three-game series from the Diamondbacks in Phoenix from May 11-13 and has won seven of its last eight matchups with Arizona...Hanigan was 3-for-3 with a walk for Cincy, which had 14 hits but stranded 16 runners...Arizona left seven men on base.
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World and
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Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Why Sports Betting Lines Change
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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